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Newberg population increase as expected


Preliminary estimates show a 1.26-percent increase, in line with the citys projections

A preliminary estimate shows Newberg’s population is up 1.26 percent, or 280 people, for the 2012-2013 year. But Barton Brierley, Newberg planning and building director, was unfazed, saying the increase was as expected.

“It’s pretty much on par with our projection estimates,” Brierley said. “We’ve been planning for growth and expecting to accommodate that population according to what we expected.”

These numbers, released by Portland State University’s Population Research Center, are slightly higher than Oregon’s average at 0.9 percent, bringing the state population to approximately 3.9 million.

Last year, Brierley said population increases in Newberg were down, only increasing by 70 people for the year.

“But that was expected because of the recession and housing starts were down quite a bit,” he said. “Now we’re seeing more development.”

PRC Program Manager Risa Proehl said the increased numbers reflect an improving economy. New housing starts are also a primary indicator of population growth. She said in Oregon, new housing starts were up 65 percent from last year.

In the area, Dundee is actually seeing a decrease of 0.16 percent, or five people. Sherwood increased by 1.7 percent, 310 people; Tualatin, 1.49 percent or 390 people; St. Paul is seeing no change, at 420 people; Portland increased 0.72 percent, or 4,255 people.

Countywide, Yamhill saw an increase of 0.8 percent, up 1 percent from last year. That brought the population total in the county to 101,400.

PRC based its estimates on July 1 data and was determined using two factors — natural increase and net migration.

Natural increase is essentially the number of births minus the number of deaths. State-wide, this accounted for 34 percent of population growth.

Net migration is the “movers-in” minus the “movers-out.” This accounted for 66 percent of population growth, or 23,300 new residents. This number, more than double from last year’s numbers, is due to a net in-flow of movers. Proehl said this is because people tend to move around more during stronger economic times.

As expected, Multnomah and Washington counties added the highest number of persons, based on these estimates.

For more information, including additional estimates for this year and last, visit www.pdx.edu/prc/population-estimates-0.